Falco Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.27
| FPRGF Stock | USD 0.26 0 0.77% |
Falco |
Falco Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.27
The tendency of Falco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.27 after 90 days |
| 0.26 | 90 days | 0.27 | about 79.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falco Resources to stay under $ 0.27 after 90 days from now is about 79.97 (This Falco Resources probability density function shows the probability of Falco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Falco Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.26 and $ 0.27 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 15.8 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Falco Resources will likely underperform. In addition to that Falco Resources has an alpha of 8.5422, implying that it can generate a 8.54 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Falco Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falco Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falco Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Falco Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Falco Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falco Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falco Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falco Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falco Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 8.54 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 15.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Falco Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falco Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falco Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falco Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Falco Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Falco Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Falco Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 30.2 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Falco Resources has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Falco Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Falco Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Falco Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Falco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Falco Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 18.0% of Falco Resources shares are held by company insiders |
Falco Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Falco Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Falco Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Falco Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 271.6 M |
Falco Resources Technical Analysis
Falco Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Falco Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Falco Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Falco Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Falco Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Falco Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Falco Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Falco Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Falco Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falco Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Falco Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Falco Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Falco Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Falco Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Falco Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 30.2 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Falco Resources has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Falco Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Falco Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Falco Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Falco to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Falco Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| About 18.0% of Falco Resources shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Falco Resources Backtesting, Falco Resources Valuation, Falco Resources Correlation, Falco Resources Hype Analysis, Falco Resources Volatility, Falco Resources History as well as Falco Resources Performance. Note that the Falco Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Falco Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Complementary Tools for Falco Pink Sheet analysis
When running Falco Resources' price analysis, check to measure Falco Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falco Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Falco Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falco Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falco Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falco Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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