European Wax Center Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.76
| EWCZ Stock | USD 11.32 0.07 0.61% |
Closest to current price European long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
European |
European Wax Target Price Odds to finish below 7.76
The tendency of European Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.76 or more in 90 days |
| 11.32 | 90 days | 7.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of European Wax to drop to $ 7.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This European Wax Center probability density function shows the probability of European Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of European Wax Center price to stay between $ 7.76 and its current price of $11.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, European Wax will likely underperform. Additionally European Wax Center has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. European Wax Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for European Wax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as European Wax Center. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of European Wax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
European Wax Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. European Wax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the European Wax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold European Wax Center, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of European Wax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
European Wax Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of European Wax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for European Wax Center can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| European Wax Center generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| European Wax Center has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| European Wax Center is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| European Wax Center has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 20512 shares by Joel Larkin of European Wax at 19.43 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
European Wax Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of European Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential European Wax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. European Wax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.2 M |
European Wax Technical Analysis
European Wax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. European Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of European Wax Center. In general, you should focus on analyzing European Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
European Wax Predictive Forecast Models
European Wax's time-series forecasting models is one of many European Wax's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary European Wax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about European Wax Center
Checking the ongoing alerts about European Wax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for European Wax Center help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| European Wax Center generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| European Wax Center has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| European Wax Center is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| European Wax Center has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 20512 shares by Joel Larkin of European Wax at 19.43 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out European Wax Backtesting, European Wax Valuation, European Wax Correlation, European Wax Hype Analysis, European Wax Volatility, European Wax History as well as European Wax Performance. Note that the European Wax Center information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other European Wax's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for European Stock analysis
When running European Wax's price analysis, check to measure European Wax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy European Wax is operating at the current time. Most of European Wax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of European Wax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move European Wax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of European Wax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is European Wax's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of European Wax. If investors know European will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about European Wax listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.361 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 4.491 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 | Return On Assets 0.0427 |
The market value of European Wax Center is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of European that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of European Wax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is European Wax's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because European Wax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect European Wax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between European Wax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if European Wax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, European Wax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.