Energy Recovery Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.57
| ERII Stock | USD 13.42 0.19 1.44% |
Closest to current price Energy long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Energy |
Energy Recovery Target Price Odds to finish below 15.57
The tendency of Energy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 15.57 after 90 days |
| 13.42 | 90 days | 15.57 | about 90.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Energy Recovery to stay under $ 15.57 after 90 days from now is about 90.57 (This Energy Recovery probability density function shows the probability of Energy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Energy Recovery price to stay between its current price of $ 13.42 and $ 15.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Energy Recovery will likely underperform. Additionally Energy Recovery has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Energy Recovery Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Energy Recovery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energy Recovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Energy Recovery Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Energy Recovery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Energy Recovery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Energy Recovery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Energy Recovery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0062 |
Energy Recovery Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Energy Recovery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Energy Recovery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Energy Recovery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Recovery is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rodney Clemente of 6432 shares of Energy Recovery at 10.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Energy Recovery Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Energy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Energy Recovery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Recovery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.5 M |
Energy Recovery Technical Analysis
Energy Recovery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Energy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Energy Recovery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Energy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Energy Recovery Predictive Forecast Models
Energy Recovery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Energy Recovery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Energy Recovery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Energy Recovery
Checking the ongoing alerts about Energy Recovery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Energy Recovery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Energy Recovery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Recovery is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rodney Clemente of 6432 shares of Energy Recovery at 10.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Energy Recovery Backtesting, Energy Recovery Valuation, Energy Recovery Correlation, Energy Recovery Hype Analysis, Energy Recovery Volatility, Energy Recovery History as well as Energy Recovery Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Energy Stock please use our How to Invest in Energy Recovery guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Energy Stock analysis
When running Energy Recovery's price analysis, check to measure Energy Recovery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Energy Recovery is operating at the current time. Most of Energy Recovery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Energy Recovery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Energy Recovery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Energy Recovery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Energy Recovery's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Energy Recovery. If investors know Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Energy Recovery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.414 | Earnings Share 0.35 | Revenue Per Share 2.242 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets 0.0449 |
The market value of Energy Recovery is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Energy Recovery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Energy Recovery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Energy Recovery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Energy Recovery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Recovery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Energy Recovery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Recovery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.