Axa Equitable Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.3
| EQH Stock | USD 38.54 0.29 0.76% |
Axa |
Axa Equitable Target Price Odds to finish below 37.3
The tendency of Axa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.30 or more in 90 days |
| 38.54 | 90 days | 37.30 | about 81.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axa Equitable to drop to $ 37.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.41 (This Axa Equitable Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Axa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axa Equitable Holdings price to stay between $ 37.30 and its current price of $38.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.85 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Axa Equitable has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Axa Equitable average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Axa Equitable Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Axa Equitable Holdings has an alpha of 0.235, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Axa Equitable Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axa Equitable
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axa Equitable Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axa Equitable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Axa Equitable Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axa Equitable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axa Equitable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axa Equitable Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axa Equitable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Axa Equitable Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axa Equitable for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axa Equitable Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axa Equitable Holdings has about 4.28 B in cash with (863 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.03. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Axa Equitable Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axa Equitable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axa Equitable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 351.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.3 B |
Axa Equitable Technical Analysis
Axa Equitable's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axa Equitable Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axa Equitable Predictive Forecast Models
Axa Equitable's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axa Equitable's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axa Equitable's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axa Equitable Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axa Equitable for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axa Equitable Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axa Equitable Holdings has about 4.28 B in cash with (863 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.03. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Axa Equitable Backtesting, Axa Equitable Valuation, Axa Equitable Correlation, Axa Equitable Hype Analysis, Axa Equitable Volatility, Axa Equitable History as well as Axa Equitable Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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When running Axa Equitable's price analysis, check to measure Axa Equitable's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axa Equitable is operating at the current time. Most of Axa Equitable's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axa Equitable's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axa Equitable's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axa Equitable to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Axa Equitable's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axa Equitable. If investors know Axa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axa Equitable listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Axa Equitable Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axa Equitable's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axa Equitable's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axa Equitable's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axa Equitable's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axa Equitable's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axa Equitable is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axa Equitable's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.