Edgewell Personal Care Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.49
| EPC Stock | USD 37.52 0.30 0.79% |
Closest to current price Edgewell long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Edgewell |
Edgewell Personal Target Price Odds to finish below 37.49
The tendency of Edgewell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.49 or more in 90 days |
| 37.52 | 90 days | 37.49 | about 46.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Edgewell Personal to drop to $ 37.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.99 (This Edgewell Personal Care probability density function shows the probability of Edgewell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Edgewell Personal Care price to stay between $ 37.49 and its current price of $37.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.29 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 suggesting Edgewell Personal Care market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Edgewell Personal is expected to follow. Additionally Edgewell Personal Care has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Edgewell Personal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Edgewell Personal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edgewell Personal Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Edgewell Personal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Edgewell Personal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Edgewell Personal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Edgewell Personal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Edgewell Personal Care, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Edgewell Personal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Edgewell Personal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Edgewell Personal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Edgewell Personal Care can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Edgewell Personal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of April 2024 Edgewell Personal paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from telegraph.co.uk: Household energy efficiency ratings inaccurate and misleading, report claims |
Edgewell Personal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Edgewell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Edgewell Personal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Edgewell Personal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.4 M |
Edgewell Personal Technical Analysis
Edgewell Personal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Edgewell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Edgewell Personal Care. In general, you should focus on analyzing Edgewell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Edgewell Personal Predictive Forecast Models
Edgewell Personal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Edgewell Personal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Edgewell Personal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Edgewell Personal Care
Checking the ongoing alerts about Edgewell Personal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Edgewell Personal Care help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Edgewell Personal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 4th of April 2024 Edgewell Personal paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from telegraph.co.uk: Household energy efficiency ratings inaccurate and misleading, report claims |
Check out Edgewell Personal Backtesting, Edgewell Personal Valuation, Edgewell Personal Correlation, Edgewell Personal Hype Analysis, Edgewell Personal Volatility, Edgewell Personal History as well as Edgewell Personal Performance. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
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When running Edgewell Personal's price analysis, check to measure Edgewell Personal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edgewell Personal is operating at the current time. Most of Edgewell Personal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edgewell Personal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edgewell Personal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edgewell Personal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Edgewell Personal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Edgewell Personal. If investors know Edgewell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Edgewell Personal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.06 | Revenue Per Share 44.691 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 |
The market value of Edgewell Personal Care is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Edgewell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Edgewell Personal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Edgewell Personal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Edgewell Personal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Edgewell Personal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Edgewell Personal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Edgewell Personal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Edgewell Personal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.