AB Electrolux (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 95.18
| ELUX-B Stock | SEK 96.00 4.20 4.58% |
ELUX-B |
AB Electrolux Target Price Odds to finish below 95.18
The tendency of ELUX-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 95.18 or more in 90 days |
| 96.00 | 90 days | 95.18 | about 89.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB Electrolux to drop to kr 95.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.02 (This AB Electrolux probability density function shows the probability of ELUX-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AB Electrolux price to stay between kr 95.18 and its current price of kr96.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AB Electrolux has a beta of -0.71 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AB Electrolux are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AB Electrolux is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AB Electrolux has an alpha of 0.0514, implying that it can generate a 0.0514 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AB Electrolux Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AB Electrolux
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB Electrolux. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AB Electrolux's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AB Electrolux Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB Electrolux is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB Electrolux's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB Electrolux, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB Electrolux within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
AB Electrolux Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AB Electrolux for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AB Electrolux can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AB Electrolux has accumulated kr31.95 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| The company has accumulated 31.95 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AB Electrolux has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AB Electrolux until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AB Electrolux's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AB Electrolux sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ELUX-B to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AB Electrolux's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 134.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (215 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.7 B. | |
| AB Electrolux has accumulated about 17.56 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.42. |
AB Electrolux Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ELUX-B Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB Electrolux's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB Electrolux's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 270 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.7 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 9.2 | |
| Shares Float | 218.8 M |
AB Electrolux Technical Analysis
AB Electrolux's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ELUX-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB Electrolux. In general, you should focus on analyzing ELUX-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AB Electrolux Predictive Forecast Models
AB Electrolux's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB Electrolux's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB Electrolux's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AB Electrolux
Checking the ongoing alerts about AB Electrolux for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AB Electrolux help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AB Electrolux has accumulated kr31.95 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| The company has accumulated 31.95 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 71.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AB Electrolux has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AB Electrolux until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AB Electrolux's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AB Electrolux sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ELUX-B to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AB Electrolux's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 134.88 B. Net Loss for the year was (215 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.7 B. | |
| AB Electrolux has accumulated about 17.56 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 27.42. |
Check out AB Electrolux Backtesting, AB Electrolux Valuation, AB Electrolux Correlation, AB Electrolux Hype Analysis, AB Electrolux Volatility, AB Electrolux History as well as AB Electrolux Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for ELUX-B Stock analysis
When running AB Electrolux's price analysis, check to measure AB Electrolux's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB Electrolux is operating at the current time. Most of AB Electrolux's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB Electrolux's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB Electrolux's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB Electrolux to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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