Discount Investment (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 346.5

DISI Stock   395.00  15.00  3.95%   
Discount Investment's future price is the expected price of Discount Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Discount Investment Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Discount Investment Backtesting, Discount Investment Valuation, Discount Investment Correlation, Discount Investment Hype Analysis, Discount Investment Volatility, Discount Investment History as well as Discount Investment Performance.
  
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Discount Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 346.5

The tendency of Discount Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  346.50  in 90 days
 395.00 90 days 346.50 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Discount Investment to stay above  346.50  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Discount Investment Corp probability density function shows the probability of Discount Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Discount Investment Corp price to stay between  346.50  and its current price of 395.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Discount Investment Corp has a beta of -0.63 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Discount Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Discount Investment Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Discount Investment Corp has an alpha of 0.0438, implying that it can generate a 0.0438 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Discount Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Discount Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Discount Investment Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Discount Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
392.83395.00397.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
323.25325.42434.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
386.94389.11391.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
340.48368.82397.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Discount Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Discount Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Discount Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Discount Investment Corp.

Discount Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Discount Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Discount Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Discount Investment Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Discount Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
18.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Discount Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Discount Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Discount Investment Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Discount Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Discount Investment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Discount Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Discount Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Discount Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Discount Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.5 M

Discount Investment Technical Analysis

Discount Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Discount Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Discount Investment Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Discount Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Discount Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Discount Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Discount Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Discount Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Discount Investment Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Discount Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Discount Investment Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Discount Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Discount Investment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

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When running Discount Investment's price analysis, check to measure Discount Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Discount Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Discount Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Discount Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Discount Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Discount Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Discount Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Discount Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Discount Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.