Us Large Cap Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 42.10

DFLVX Fund  USD 46.91  0.19  0.40%   
Us Large's future price is the expected price of Us Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Us Large Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Us Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Us Large Correlation, Us Large Hype Analysis, Us Large Volatility, Us Large History as well as Us Large Performance.
  
Please specify Us Large's target price for which you would like Us Large odds to be computed.

Us Large Target Price Odds to finish below 42.10

The tendency of DFLVX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 42.10  or more in 90 days
 46.91 90 days 42.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Us Large to drop to $ 42.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Us Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of DFLVX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Us Large Cap price to stay between $ 42.10  and its current price of $46.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Large has a beta of 0.97 suggesting Us Large Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Us Large is expected to follow. Additionally Us Large Cap has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Us Large Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Us Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Us Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Us Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.2446.9147.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.2546.9247.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Us Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Us Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Us Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Us Large Cap.

Us Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Us Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Us Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Us Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Us Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.97
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Us Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Us Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Us Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Us Large Technical Analysis

Us Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DFLVX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Us Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing DFLVX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Us Large Predictive Forecast Models

Us Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Us Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Us Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Us Large Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Us Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Us Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Us Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Us Large Correlation, Us Large Hype Analysis, Us Large Volatility, Us Large History as well as Us Large Performance.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Us Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Us Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Us Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.