Caesars Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.95
| CZR Stock | USD 35.33 0.19 0.54% |
Closest to current price Caesars long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Caesars |
Caesars Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 33.95
The tendency of Caesars Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 33.95 or more in 90 days |
| 35.33 | 90 days | 33.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caesars Entertainment to drop to $ 33.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Caesars Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Caesars Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caesars Entertainment price to stay between $ 33.95 and its current price of $35.33 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.99 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Caesars Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally Caesars Entertainment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Caesars Entertainment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caesars Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caesars Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caesars Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caesars Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caesars Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caesars Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caesars Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caesars Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Caesars Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caesars Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caesars Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caesars Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 25.07 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.55, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Caesars Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.78, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Caesars Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Caesars Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Caesars Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Caesars to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Caesars Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Caesars Entertainment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of Caesars Entertainment shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Casino Operator MGM beats first-quarter estimates on strength in Macau business |
Caesars Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caesars Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caesars Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caesars Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Caesars Entertainment Technical Analysis
Caesars Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caesars Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caesars Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caesars Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caesars Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
Caesars Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Caesars Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caesars Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caesars Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caesars Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caesars Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caesars Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 25.07 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.55, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Caesars Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.78, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Caesars Entertainment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Caesars Entertainment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Caesars Entertainment sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Caesars to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Caesars Entertainment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Caesars Entertainment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of Caesars Entertainment shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Casino Operator MGM beats first-quarter estimates on strength in Macau business |
Check out Caesars Entertainment Backtesting, Caesars Entertainment Valuation, Caesars Entertainment Correlation, Caesars Entertainment Hype Analysis, Caesars Entertainment Volatility, Caesars Entertainment History as well as Caesars Entertainment Performance. To learn how to invest in Caesars Stock, please use our How to Invest in Caesars Entertainment guide.Note that the Caesars Entertainment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Caesars Entertainment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for Caesars Stock analysis
When running Caesars Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Caesars Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caesars Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Caesars Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caesars Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caesars Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caesars Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Caesars Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caesars Entertainment. If investors know Caesars will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caesars Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.417 | Earnings Share 3.54 | Revenue Per Share 53.148 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0457 |
The market value of Caesars Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caesars that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caesars Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caesars Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caesars Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caesars Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caesars Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caesars Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caesars Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.