Cyberark Software Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 244.57
| CYBR Stock | USD 227.32 6.22 2.66% |
Closest to current price CyberArk long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
CyberArk |
CyberArk Software Target Price Odds to finish over 244.57
The tendency of CyberArk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 244.57 or more in 90 days |
| 227.32 | 90 days | 244.57 | about 77.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CyberArk Software to move over $ 244.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.52 (This CyberArk Software probability density function shows the probability of CyberArk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CyberArk Software price to stay between its current price of $ 227.32 and $ 244.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CyberArk Software will likely underperform. Additionally CyberArk Software has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CyberArk Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CyberArk Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CyberArk Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CyberArk Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CyberArk Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CyberArk Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CyberArk Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CyberArk Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CyberArk Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
CyberArk Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CyberArk Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CyberArk Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CyberArk Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 751.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 465.66 M. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CyberArk Crushes Q1 Earnings Revenue Estimates |
CyberArk Software Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CyberArk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CyberArk Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CyberArk Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 993.4 M |
CyberArk Software Technical Analysis
CyberArk Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CyberArk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CyberArk Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing CyberArk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CyberArk Software Predictive Forecast Models
CyberArk Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many CyberArk Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CyberArk Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CyberArk Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about CyberArk Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CyberArk Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CyberArk Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 751.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 465.66 M. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CyberArk Crushes Q1 Earnings Revenue Estimates |
Check out CyberArk Software Backtesting, CyberArk Software Valuation, CyberArk Software Correlation, CyberArk Software Hype Analysis, CyberArk Software Volatility, CyberArk Software History as well as CyberArk Software Performance. To learn how to invest in CyberArk Stock, please use our How to Invest in CyberArk Software guide.Note that the CyberArk Software information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CyberArk Software's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for CyberArk Stock analysis
When running CyberArk Software's price analysis, check to measure CyberArk Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CyberArk Software is operating at the current time. Most of CyberArk Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CyberArk Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CyberArk Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CyberArk Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CyberArk Software's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CyberArk Software. If investors know CyberArk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CyberArk Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share (0.61) | Revenue Per Share 19.339 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.37 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of CyberArk Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CyberArk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CyberArk Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CyberArk Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CyberArk Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CyberArk Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CyberArk Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CyberArk Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CyberArk Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.