Caldwell Partners International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.04
| CWL Stock | CAD 0.83 0.02 2.35% |
Caldwell |
Caldwell Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of Caldwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.83 | 90 days | 0.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caldwell Partners to drop to C$ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Caldwell Partners International probability density function shows the probability of Caldwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caldwell Partners price to stay between C$ 0.04 and its current price of C$0.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caldwell Partners International has a beta of -0.74 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Caldwell Partners are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Caldwell Partners International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Caldwell Partners International has an alpha of 0.2386, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Caldwell Partners Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caldwell Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caldwell Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caldwell Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caldwell Partners Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caldwell Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caldwell Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caldwell Partners International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caldwell Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Caldwell Partners Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caldwell Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caldwell Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caldwell Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Caldwell Partners had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 156.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.65 M. | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Our Take On The Caldwell Partners International Inc.s CEO Salary - Yahoo New Zealand News |
Caldwell Partners Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caldwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caldwell Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caldwell Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 22.6 M |
Caldwell Partners Technical Analysis
Caldwell Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caldwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caldwell Partners International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caldwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caldwell Partners Predictive Forecast Models
Caldwell Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Caldwell Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caldwell Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caldwell Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caldwell Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caldwell Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caldwell Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Caldwell Partners had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 156.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.65 M. | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Our Take On The Caldwell Partners International Inc.s CEO Salary - Yahoo New Zealand News |
Other Information on Investing in Caldwell Stock
Caldwell Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caldwell Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caldwell with respect to the benefits of owning Caldwell Partners security.