Cousins Properties Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.55

CUZ Stock  USD 22.80  0.25  1.08%   
Cousins Properties' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Cousins Properties Incorporated. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Cousins Properties based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Cousins Properties Incorporated over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Cousins Properties' common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-29 at 12:59:19 for $2.21 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.3, and an ask price of $5.1. The implied volatility as of the 10th of June is 124.75. View All Cousins options

Closest to current price Cousins long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Cousins Properties' future price is the expected price of Cousins Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cousins Properties Incorporated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cousins Properties Backtesting, Cousins Properties Valuation, Cousins Properties Correlation, Cousins Properties Hype Analysis, Cousins Properties Volatility, Cousins Properties History as well as Cousins Properties Performance.
  
At this time, Cousins Properties' Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 46.76 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.60). Please specify Cousins Properties' target price for which you would like Cousins Properties odds to be computed.

Cousins Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 22.55

The tendency of Cousins Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 22.55  or more in 90 days
 22.80 90 days 22.55 
about 17.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cousins Properties to drop to $ 22.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.43 (This Cousins Properties Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Cousins Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cousins Properties price to stay between $ 22.55  and its current price of $22.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.44 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cousins Properties will likely underperform. Additionally Cousins Properties Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Cousins Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cousins Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cousins Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cousins Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.2122.8024.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2923.8825.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.7223.3124.90
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.6624.9027.64
Details

Cousins Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cousins Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cousins Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cousins Properties Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cousins Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Cousins Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cousins Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cousins Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cousins Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cousins Properties Incorporated has 2.51 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.49, which is OK given its current industry classification. Cousins Properties has a current ratio of 0.7, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Cousins to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 97.0% of Cousins Properties shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of April 2024 Cousins Properties paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by R Stone of 5836 shares of Cousins Properties at 23.13 subject to Rule 16b-3

Cousins Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cousins Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cousins Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cousins Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Cousins Properties Technical Analysis

Cousins Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cousins Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cousins Properties Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cousins Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cousins Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Cousins Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cousins Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cousins Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cousins Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cousins Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cousins Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cousins Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cousins Properties Incorporated has 2.51 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.49, which is OK given its current industry classification. Cousins Properties has a current ratio of 0.7, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Cousins to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 97.0% of Cousins Properties shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of April 2024 Cousins Properties paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by R Stone of 5836 shares of Cousins Properties at 23.13 subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Tools for Cousins Stock Analysis

When running Cousins Properties' price analysis, check to measure Cousins Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cousins Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Cousins Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cousins Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cousins Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cousins Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.