Copa Holdings Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.96
| CPA Stock | USD 103.50 0.50 0.49% |
Closest to current price Copa long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Copa |
Copa Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 97.96
The tendency of Copa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 97.96 in 90 days |
| 103.50 | 90 days | 97.96 | about 80.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Copa Holdings to stay above $ 97.96 in 90 days from now is about 80.32 (This Copa Holdings SA probability density function shows the probability of Copa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Copa Holdings SA price to stay between $ 97.96 and its current price of $103.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.51 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Copa Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Copa Holdings SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Copa Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Copa Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copa Holdings SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Copa Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Copa Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Copa Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Copa Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Copa Holdings SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Copa Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0042 |
Copa Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Copa Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Copa Holdings SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 1.75 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Copa Holdings SA has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Copa Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Copa Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Copa Holdings SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Copa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Copa Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 95.0% of Copa Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of March 2024 Copa Holdings paid $ 1.61 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Countdown to Copa Holdings Q1 Earnings A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS |
Copa Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Copa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Copa Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Copa Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 915.2 M |
Copa Holdings Technical Analysis
Copa Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Copa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Copa Holdings SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Copa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Copa Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Copa Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Copa Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Copa Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Copa Holdings SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Copa Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Copa Holdings SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 1.75 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Copa Holdings SA has a current ratio of 0.95, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Copa Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Copa Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Copa Holdings SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Copa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Copa Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 95.0% of Copa Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of March 2024 Copa Holdings paid $ 1.61 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Countdown to Copa Holdings Q1 Earnings A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS |
Check out Copa Holdings Backtesting, Copa Holdings Valuation, Copa Holdings Correlation, Copa Holdings Hype Analysis, Copa Holdings Volatility, Copa Holdings History as well as Copa Holdings Performance. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Copa Stock analysis
When running Copa Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Copa Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Copa Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Copa Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Copa Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Copa Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Copa Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Copa Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Copa Holdings. If investors know Copa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Copa Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.039 | Dividend Share 3.28 | Earnings Share 12.78 | Revenue Per Share 86.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 |
The market value of Copa Holdings SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Copa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Copa Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Copa Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Copa Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Copa Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Copa Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copa Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copa Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.