Chs Inc Pref Preferred Stock Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 30.4

CHSCP Preferred Stock  USD 30.16  0.09  0.30%   
CHS's future price is the expected price of CHS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CHS Inc Pref performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CHS Backtesting, CHS Valuation, CHS Correlation, CHS Hype Analysis, CHS Volatility, CHS History as well as CHS Performance.
  
Please specify CHS's target price for which you would like CHS odds to be computed.

CHS Target Price Odds to finish below 30.4

The tendency of CHS Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 30.40  after 90 days
 30.16 90 days 30.40 
about 21.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHS to stay under $ 30.40  after 90 days from now is about 21.08 (This CHS Inc Pref probability density function shows the probability of CHS Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHS Inc Pref price to stay between its current price of $ 30.16  and $ 30.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CHS has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CHS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHS Inc Pref will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHS Inc Pref has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   CHS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CHS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHS Inc Pref. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CHS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.3630.1630.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7730.5731.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.8830.6931.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.4230.6731.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CHS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CHS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CHS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CHS Inc Pref.

CHS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHS Inc Pref, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

CHS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHS Inc Pref can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHS Inc Pref generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

CHS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CHS Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CHS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CHS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments794 M

CHS Technical Analysis

CHS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHS Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHS Inc Pref. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHS Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CHS Predictive Forecast Models

CHS's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHS's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CHS Inc Pref

Checking the ongoing alerts about CHS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHS Inc Pref help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHS Inc Pref generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out CHS Backtesting, CHS Valuation, CHS Correlation, CHS Hype Analysis, CHS Volatility, CHS History as well as CHS Performance.
Note that the CHS Inc Pref information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CHS's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for CHS Preferred Stock analysis

When running CHS's price analysis, check to measure CHS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHS is operating at the current time. Most of CHS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between CHS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CHS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CHS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.