Cherry Hill Mortgage Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.11
| CHMI Stock | USD 3.62 0.02 0.56% |
Closest to current price Cherry long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Cherry |
Cherry Hill Target Price Odds to finish over 6.11
The tendency of Cherry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.11 or more in 90 days |
| 3.62 | 90 days | 6.11 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cherry Hill to move over $ 6.11 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Cherry Hill Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Cherry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cherry Hill Mortgage price to stay between its current price of $ 3.62 and $ 6.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cherry Hill will likely underperform. Additionally Cherry Hill Mortgage has an alpha of 0.0954, implying that it can generate a 0.0954 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cherry Hill Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cherry Hill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cherry Hill Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cherry Hill's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cherry Hill Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cherry Hill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cherry Hill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cherry Hill Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cherry Hill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Cherry Hill Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cherry Hill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cherry Hill Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cherry Hill Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 1.1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.27, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cherry Hill Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Cherry Hill until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cherry Hill's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cherry Hill Mortgage sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cherry to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cherry Hill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 100.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.19 M. | |
| On 30th of April 2024 Cherry Hill paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Share Price Passes Below 200 Day Moving Average of 3.64 - Defense World |
Cherry Hill Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cherry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cherry Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cherry Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 69.3 M |
Cherry Hill Technical Analysis
Cherry Hill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cherry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cherry Hill Mortgage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cherry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cherry Hill Predictive Forecast Models
Cherry Hill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cherry Hill's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cherry Hill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cherry Hill Mortgage
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cherry Hill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cherry Hill Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cherry Hill Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 1.1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.27, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cherry Hill Mortgage has a current ratio of 0.22, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Cherry Hill until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cherry Hill's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cherry Hill Mortgage sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cherry to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cherry Hill's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 100.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.19 M. | |
| On 30th of April 2024 Cherry Hill paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Share Price Passes Below 200 Day Moving Average of 3.64 - Defense World |
Check out Cherry Hill Backtesting, Cherry Hill Valuation, Cherry Hill Correlation, Cherry Hill Hype Analysis, Cherry Hill Volatility, Cherry Hill History as well as Cherry Hill Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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When running Cherry Hill's price analysis, check to measure Cherry Hill's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cherry Hill is operating at the current time. Most of Cherry Hill's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cherry Hill's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cherry Hill's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cherry Hill to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cherry Hill's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cherry Hill. If investors know Cherry will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cherry Hill listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share (0.50) | Revenue Per Share 0.834 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.52) |
The market value of Cherry Hill Mortgage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cherry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cherry Hill's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cherry Hill's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cherry Hill's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cherry Hill's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cherry Hill's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cherry Hill is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cherry Hill's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.