China Aircraft Leasing Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.02
| CFRLF Stock | USD 0.43 0.00 0.00% |
China |
China Aircraft Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of China Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.43 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Aircraft to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This China Aircraft Leasing probability density function shows the probability of China Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Aircraft Leasing price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $0.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Aircraft has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, China Aircraft average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Aircraft Leasing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Aircraft Leasing has an alpha of 0.305, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Aircraft Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Aircraft
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Aircraft Leasing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Aircraft's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Aircraft Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Aircraft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Aircraft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Aircraft Leasing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Aircraft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
China Aircraft Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Aircraft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Aircraft Leasing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Aircraft has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
China Aircraft Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Aircraft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Aircraft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 743.5 M |
China Aircraft Technical Analysis
China Aircraft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Aircraft Leasing. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Aircraft Predictive Forecast Models
China Aircraft's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Aircraft's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Aircraft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Aircraft Leasing
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Aircraft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Aircraft Leasing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Aircraft has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out China Aircraft Backtesting, China Aircraft Valuation, China Aircraft Correlation, China Aircraft Hype Analysis, China Aircraft Volatility, China Aircraft History as well as China Aircraft Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis
When running China Aircraft's price analysis, check to measure China Aircraft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Aircraft is operating at the current time. Most of China Aircraft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Aircraft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Aircraft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Aircraft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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