Cryocell International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.1
| CCEL Stock | USD 9.13 0.25 2.67% |
CryoCell |
CryoCell International Target Price Odds to finish over 9.1
The tendency of CryoCell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 9.10 in 90 days |
| 9.13 | 90 days | 9.10 | about 5.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CryoCell International to stay above $ 9.10 in 90 days from now is about 5.66 (This CryoCell International probability density function shows the probability of CryoCell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CryoCell International price to stay between $ 9.10 and its current price of $9.13 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CryoCell International has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CryoCell International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CryoCell International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CryoCell International has an alpha of 0.8824, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CryoCell International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CryoCell International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CryoCell International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CryoCell International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CryoCell International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CryoCell International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CryoCell International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CryoCell International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CryoCell International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.88 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
CryoCell International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CryoCell International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CryoCell International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CryoCell International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 10.9 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.26, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. CryoCell International has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist CryoCell International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CryoCell International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CryoCell International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CryoCell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CryoCell International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 31.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.54 M. | |
| About 47.0% of CryoCell International shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by David Portnoy of 25000 shares of CryoCell International at 12.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
CryoCell International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CryoCell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CryoCell International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CryoCell International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 980.2 K |
CryoCell International Technical Analysis
CryoCell International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CryoCell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CryoCell International. In general, you should focus on analyzing CryoCell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CryoCell International Predictive Forecast Models
CryoCell International's time-series forecasting models is one of many CryoCell International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CryoCell International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CryoCell International
Checking the ongoing alerts about CryoCell International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CryoCell International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CryoCell International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company currently holds 10.9 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.26, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. CryoCell International has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist CryoCell International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CryoCell International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CryoCell International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CryoCell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CryoCell International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 31.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.54 M. | |
| About 47.0% of CryoCell International shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by David Portnoy of 25000 shares of CryoCell International at 12.27 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out CryoCell International Backtesting, CryoCell International Valuation, CryoCell International Correlation, CryoCell International Hype Analysis, CryoCell International Volatility, CryoCell International History as well as CryoCell International Performance. For more information on how to buy CryoCell Stock please use our How to buy in CryoCell Stock guide.Note that the CryoCell International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CryoCell International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for CryoCell Stock analysis
When running CryoCell International's price analysis, check to measure CryoCell International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CryoCell International is operating at the current time. Most of CryoCell International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CryoCell International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CryoCell International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CryoCell International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CryoCell International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CryoCell International. If investors know CryoCell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CryoCell International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Earnings Share (1.16) | Revenue Per Share 3.783 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of CryoCell International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CryoCell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CryoCell International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CryoCell International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CryoCell International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CryoCell International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CryoCell International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CryoCell International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CryoCell International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.