Bogazici Beton (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.9
BOBET Stock | 29.32 0.54 1.88% |
Bogazici |
Bogazici Beton Target Price Odds to finish over 35.9
The tendency of Bogazici Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 35.90 or more in 90 days |
29.32 | 90 days | 35.90 | about 48.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bogazici Beton to move over 35.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.5 (This Bogazici Beton Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Bogazici Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bogazici Beton Sanayi price to stay between its current price of 29.32 and 35.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bogazici Beton has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bogazici Beton average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bogazici Beton Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bogazici Beton Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Bogazici Beton Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Bogazici Beton
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bogazici Beton Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bogazici Beton's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bogazici Beton Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bogazici Beton is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bogazici Beton's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bogazici Beton Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bogazici Beton within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Bogazici Beton Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bogazici Beton for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bogazici Beton Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Bogazici Beton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bogazici Beton Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bogazici Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bogazici Beton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bogazici Beton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 380 M |
Bogazici Beton Technical Analysis
Bogazici Beton's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bogazici Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bogazici Beton Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bogazici Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bogazici Beton Predictive Forecast Models
Bogazici Beton's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bogazici Beton's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bogazici Beton's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bogazici Beton Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bogazici Beton for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bogazici Beton Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bogazici Beton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Bogazici Beton Backtesting, Bogazici Beton Valuation, Bogazici Beton Correlation, Bogazici Beton Hype Analysis, Bogazici Beton Volatility, Bogazici Beton History as well as Bogazici Beton Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Bogazici Stock analysis
When running Bogazici Beton's price analysis, check to measure Bogazici Beton's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bogazici Beton is operating at the current time. Most of Bogazici Beton's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bogazici Beton's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bogazici Beton's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bogazici Beton to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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