Booking Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3207.15
| BKNG Stock | USD 3,577 104.47 3.01% |
Booking |
Booking Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 3207.15
The tendency of Booking Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 3,207 in 90 days |
| 3,577 | 90 days | 3,207 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Booking Holdings to stay above $ 3,207 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Booking Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Booking Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Booking Holdings price to stay between $ 3,207 and its current price of $3577.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Booking Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Booking Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Booking Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Booking Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Booking Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Booking Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Booking Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Booking Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Booking Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Booking Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Booking Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 110.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Booking Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Booking Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Booking Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Booking Holdings paid $ 8.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Booking.Coms Q1 Earnings Show Growth In Travel Demand - Heres Why |
Booking Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Booking Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Booking Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Booking Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.7 B |
Booking Holdings Technical Analysis
Booking Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Booking Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Booking Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Booking Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Booking Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Booking Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Booking Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Booking Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Booking Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Booking Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Booking Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Booking Holdings paid $ 8.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Booking.Coms Q1 Earnings Show Growth In Travel Demand - Heres Why |
Check out Booking Holdings Backtesting, Booking Holdings Valuation, Booking Holdings Correlation, Booking Holdings Hype Analysis, Booking Holdings Volatility, Booking Holdings History as well as Booking Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Booking Stock please use our How to Invest in Booking Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Booking Stock analysis
When running Booking Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Booking Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Booking Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Booking Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Booking Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Booking Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Booking Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Booking Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Booking Holdings. If investors know Booking will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Booking Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.196 | Dividend Share 8.75 | Earnings Share 132.72 | Revenue Per Share 623.529 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.169 |
The market value of Booking Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Booking that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Booking Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Booking Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Booking Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Booking Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Booking Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Booking Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Booking Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.