Buckle Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.23

BKE Stock  USD 38.94  0.14  0.36%   
Buckle's future price is the expected price of Buckle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Buckle Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Buckle Backtesting, Buckle Valuation, Buckle Correlation, Buckle Hype Analysis, Buckle Volatility, Buckle History as well as Buckle Performance.
  
Please specify Buckle's target price for which you would like Buckle odds to be computed.

Buckle Target Price Odds to finish below 37.23

The tendency of Buckle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 37.23  or more in 90 days
 38.94 90 days 37.23 
about 16.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buckle to drop to $ 37.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.47 (This Buckle Inc probability density function shows the probability of Buckle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Buckle Inc price to stay between $ 37.23  and its current price of $38.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.4 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Buckle will likely underperform. Additionally Buckle Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Buckle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Buckle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buckle Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Buckle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1238.9440.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.9738.7940.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.8840.7042.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.8437.5639.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Buckle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Buckle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Buckle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Buckle Inc.

Buckle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buckle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buckle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buckle Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buckle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.69
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Buckle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buckle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buckle Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of April 2024 Buckle paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kari Smith of 19800 shares of Buckle subject to Rule 16b-3

Buckle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Buckle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Buckle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Buckle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50 M
Cash And Short Term Investments290.4 M

Buckle Technical Analysis

Buckle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Buckle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Buckle Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Buckle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Buckle Predictive Forecast Models

Buckle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Buckle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Buckle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Buckle Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Buckle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Buckle Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 26th of April 2024 Buckle paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kari Smith of 19800 shares of Buckle subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Buckle Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Buckle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Buckle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Buckle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Buckle Backtesting, Buckle Valuation, Buckle Correlation, Buckle Hype Analysis, Buckle Volatility, Buckle History as well as Buckle Performance.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Buckle Stock analysis

When running Buckle's price analysis, check to measure Buckle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Buckle is operating at the current time. Most of Buckle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Buckle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Buckle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Buckle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Buckle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Buckle. If investors know Buckle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Buckle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Buckle Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Buckle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Buckle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Buckle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Buckle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Buckle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Buckle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Buckle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Buckle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.