Datang International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.18

BJI Stock  EUR 0.19  0.01  5.56%   
Datang International's future price is the expected price of Datang International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Datang International Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Datang International Backtesting, Datang International Valuation, Datang International Correlation, Datang International Hype Analysis, Datang International Volatility, Datang International History as well as Datang International Performance.
  
Please specify Datang International's target price for which you would like Datang International odds to be computed.

Datang International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.18

The tendency of Datang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.18  or more in 90 days
 0.19 90 days 0.18 
about 88.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Datang International to drop to € 0.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.8 (This Datang International Power probability density function shows the probability of Datang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Datang International price to stay between € 0.18  and its current price of €0.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Datang International has a beta of 0.0574 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Datang International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Datang International Power will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Datang International Power has an alpha of 0.6376, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Datang International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Datang International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Datang International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Datang International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.194.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.154.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.194.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.160.180.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Datang International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Datang International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Datang International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Datang International.

Datang International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Datang International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Datang International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Datang International Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Datang International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.64
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Datang International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Datang International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Datang International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Datang International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Datang International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Datang International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 111.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Datang International has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Datang International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Datang International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Datang International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Datang to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Datang International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 103.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.26 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (977.03 M).
About 54.0% of Datang International shares are held by company insiders

Datang International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Datang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Datang International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Datang International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 B

Datang International Technical Analysis

Datang International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Datang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Datang International Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Datang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Datang International Predictive Forecast Models

Datang International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Datang International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Datang International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Datang International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Datang International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Datang International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Datang International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Datang International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Datang International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 111.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Datang International has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Datang International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Datang International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Datang International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Datang to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Datang International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 103.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.26 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (977.03 M).
About 54.0% of Datang International shares are held by company insiders
Check out Datang International Backtesting, Datang International Valuation, Datang International Correlation, Datang International Hype Analysis, Datang International Volatility, Datang International History as well as Datang International Performance.
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Complementary Tools for Datang Stock analysis

When running Datang International's price analysis, check to measure Datang International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Datang International is operating at the current time. Most of Datang International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Datang International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Datang International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Datang International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Datang International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Datang International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Datang International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.