Vaneck Bdc Income Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 16.7
| BIZD Etf | USD 17.09 0.05 0.29% |
Closest to current price VanEck long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
VanEck |
VanEck BDC Target Price Odds to finish over 16.7
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 16.70 in 90 days |
| 17.09 | 90 days | 16.70 | about 18.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck BDC to stay above $ 16.70 in 90 days from now is about 18.92 (This VanEck BDC Income probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck BDC Income price to stay between $ 16.70 and its current price of $17.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck BDC has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, VanEck BDC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck BDC Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck BDC Income has an alpha of 0.0791, implying that it can generate a 0.0791 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VanEck BDC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VanEck BDC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck BDC Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck BDC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck BDC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck BDC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck BDC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck BDC Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck BDC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
VanEck BDC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck BDC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck BDC Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: VanEck BDC Income ETF Shares Sold by Avantax Advisory Services Inc. - Defense World | |
| The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
VanEck BDC Technical Analysis
VanEck BDC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck BDC Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck BDC Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck BDC's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck BDC's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck BDC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck BDC Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck BDC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck BDC Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: VanEck BDC Income ETF Shares Sold by Avantax Advisory Services Inc. - Defense World | |
| The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out VanEck BDC Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck BDC Correlation, VanEck BDC Hype Analysis, VanEck BDC Volatility, VanEck BDC History as well as VanEck BDC Performance. Note that the VanEck BDC Income information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VanEck BDC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
The market value of VanEck BDC Income is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck BDC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck BDC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck BDC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck BDC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck BDC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck BDC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck BDC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.