Bank Pembangunan (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 66.35
| BEKS Stock | IDR 23.00 1.00 4.17% |
Bank |
Bank Pembangunan Target Price Odds to finish over 66.35
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 66.35 or more in 90 days |
| 23.00 | 90 days | 66.35 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Pembangunan to move over 66.35 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bank Pembangunan Daerah probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Pembangunan Daerah price to stay between its current price of 23.00 and 66.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Pembangunan has a beta of 0.86 suggesting Bank Pembangunan Daerah market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bank Pembangunan is expected to follow. Additionally Bank Pembangunan Daerah has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Bank Pembangunan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Pembangunan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Pembangunan Daerah. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Pembangunan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank Pembangunan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Pembangunan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Pembangunan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Pembangunan Daerah, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Pembangunan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.98 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Bank Pembangunan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Pembangunan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Pembangunan Daerah can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Pembangunan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bank Pembangunan has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bank Pembangunan has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 95.72 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.18 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.29 B. | |
| Bank Pembangunan Daerah has accumulated about 2.03 T in cash with (2.87 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 46.21, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bank Pembangunan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Pembangunan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Pembangunan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.9 B |
Bank Pembangunan Technical Analysis
Bank Pembangunan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Pembangunan Daerah. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Pembangunan Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Pembangunan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Pembangunan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Pembangunan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Pembangunan Daerah
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Pembangunan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Pembangunan Daerah help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Pembangunan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bank Pembangunan has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bank Pembangunan has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 95.72 B. Net Loss for the year was (265.18 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.29 B. | |
| Bank Pembangunan Daerah has accumulated about 2.03 T in cash with (2.87 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 46.21, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Pembangunan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Pembangunan security.