bebe stores inc Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5.76

BEBEDelisted Stock  USD 4.80  0.11  2.35%   
Bebe Stores' future price is the expected price of Bebe Stores instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of bebe stores inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
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Bebe Stores Target Price Odds to finish over 5.76

The tendency of Bebe Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.76  or more in 90 days
 4.80 90 days 5.76 
about 6.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bebe Stores to move over $ 5.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.14 (This bebe stores inc probability density function shows the probability of Bebe Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of bebe stores inc price to stay between its current price of $ 4.80  and $ 5.76  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.35 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days bebe stores inc has a beta of -0.26 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bebe Stores are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, bebe stores inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bebe stores inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Bebe Stores Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bebe Stores

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as bebe stores inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bebe Stores' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.804.804.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.314.315.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.654.654.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.765.015.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bebe Stores. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bebe Stores' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bebe Stores' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in bebe stores inc.

Bebe Stores Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bebe Stores is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bebe Stores' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold bebe stores inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bebe Stores within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Bebe Stores Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bebe Stores for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for bebe stores inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
bebe stores inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
bebe stores inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.4, which is about average as compared to similar companies. bebe stores inc has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Bebe Stores until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bebe Stores' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like bebe stores inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bebe to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bebe Stores' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Bebe Stores Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bebe Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bebe Stores' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bebe Stores' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.9 M

Bebe Stores Technical Analysis

Bebe Stores' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bebe Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of bebe stores inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bebe Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bebe Stores Predictive Forecast Models

Bebe Stores' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bebe Stores' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bebe Stores' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about bebe stores inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bebe Stores for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for bebe stores inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
bebe stores inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
bebe stores inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.4, which is about average as compared to similar companies. bebe stores inc has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Bebe Stores until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bebe Stores' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like bebe stores inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bebe to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bebe Stores' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the bebe stores inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bebe Stores' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Other Consideration for investing in Bebe Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in bebe stores inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Bebe Stores' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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