Bcb Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.67
| BCBP Stock | USD 9.97 0.16 1.63% |
Closest to current price BCB long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
BCB |
BCB Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 10.67
The tendency of BCB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.67 or more in 90 days |
| 9.97 | 90 days | 10.67 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCB Bancorp to move over $ 10.67 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This BCB Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of BCB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BCB Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 9.97 and $ 10.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BCB Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally BCB Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. BCB Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BCB Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BCB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BCB Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCB Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCB Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCB Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCB Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0066 |
BCB Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCB Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCB Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BCB Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 17th of May 2024 BCB Bancorp paid $ 0.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BCB Bancorp director buys 4,845 in company stock |
BCB Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -16.6 M |
BCB Bancorp Technical Analysis
BCB Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCB Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BCB Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
BCB Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many BCB Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BCB Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BCB Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about BCB Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCB Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BCB Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 17th of May 2024 BCB Bancorp paid $ 0.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BCB Bancorp director buys 4,845 in company stock |
Additional Tools for BCB Stock Analysis
When running BCB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure BCB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BCB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of BCB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BCB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BCB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BCB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.