Atlas Menkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.17
| ATLAS Stock | TRY 6.30 0.25 3.82% |
Atlas |
Atlas Menkul Target Price Odds to finish over 6.17
The tendency of Atlas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 6.17 in 90 days |
| 6.30 | 90 days | 6.17 | about 11.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlas Menkul to stay above 6.17 in 90 days from now is about 11.94 (This Atlas Menkul Kiymetler probability density function shows the probability of Atlas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlas Menkul Kiymetler price to stay between 6.17 and its current price of 6.3 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atlas Menkul Kiymetler has a beta of -0.18. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atlas Menkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atlas Menkul Kiymetler is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atlas Menkul Kiymetler has an alpha of 0.4065, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atlas Menkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atlas Menkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Menkul Kiymetler. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlas Menkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlas Menkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlas Menkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlas Menkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlas Menkul Kiymetler, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlas Menkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Atlas Menkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlas Menkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlas Menkul Kiymetler can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atlas Menkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Atlas Menkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlas Menkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlas Menkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -2.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.04 | |
| Shares Float | 60 M |
Atlas Menkul Technical Analysis
Atlas Menkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlas Menkul Kiymetler. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlas Menkul Predictive Forecast Models
Atlas Menkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlas Menkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlas Menkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atlas Menkul Kiymetler
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlas Menkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlas Menkul Kiymetler help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atlas Menkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Check out Atlas Menkul Backtesting, Atlas Menkul Valuation, Atlas Menkul Correlation, Atlas Menkul Hype Analysis, Atlas Menkul Volatility, Atlas Menkul History as well as Atlas Menkul Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Atlas Stock analysis
When running Atlas Menkul's price analysis, check to measure Atlas Menkul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlas Menkul is operating at the current time. Most of Atlas Menkul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlas Menkul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlas Menkul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlas Menkul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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