Invesco Summit Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.72

ASMYX Fund  USD 26.31  0.10  0.38%   
Invesco Summit's future price is the expected price of Invesco Summit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Summit Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Summit Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Summit Correlation, Invesco Summit Hype Analysis, Invesco Summit Volatility, Invesco Summit History as well as Invesco Summit Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Summit's target price for which you would like Invesco Summit odds to be computed.

Invesco Summit Target Price Odds to finish over 25.72

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 25.72  in 90 days
 26.31 90 days 25.72 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Summit to stay above $ 25.72  in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Invesco Summit Fund probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Summit price to stay between $ 25.72  and its current price of $26.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This suggests Invesco Summit Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Invesco Summit is expected to follow. Additionally Invesco Summit Fund has an alpha of 0.0156, implying that it can generate a 0.0156 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Summit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Summit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Summit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Summit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.9420.0521.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3819.4920.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.4125.5226.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.1826.1327.08
Details

Invesco Summit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Summit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Summit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Summit Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Summit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Invesco Summit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Summit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Summit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is FLTMX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Zacks Investment Research
The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Invesco Summit Technical Analysis

Invesco Summit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Summit Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Summit Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Summit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Summit's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Summit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Summit

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Summit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Summit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is FLTMX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Zacks Investment Research
The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Summit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Summit security.
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