Australian Mines Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0045
| AMSLF Stock | USD 0.01 0.0003 4.05% |
Australian |
Australian Mines Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0045
The tendency of Australian Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0 in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0 | about 91.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Mines to stay above $ 0 in 90 days from now is about 91.01 (This Australian Mines Limited probability density function shows the probability of Australian Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Mines price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0071 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Australian Mines Limited has a beta of -3.54. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Australian Mines Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Australian Mines is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Australian Mines Limited has an alpha of 6.0359, implying that it can generate a 6.04 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Australian Mines Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australian Mines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Australian Mines' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Australian Mines Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Mines is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Mines' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Mines Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Mines within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 6.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -3.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Australian Mines Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Mines for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Mines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australian Mines is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Australian Mines has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Mines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63 K. | |
| Australian Mines Limited has accumulated about 3.99 M in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Australian Mines Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australian Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australian Mines' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Mines' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 468.7 M |
Australian Mines Technical Analysis
Australian Mines' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Mines Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Mines Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Mines' time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Mines' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Mines' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australian Mines
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Mines for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Mines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australian Mines is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Australian Mines has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Mines appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63 K. | |
| Australian Mines Limited has accumulated about 3.99 M in cash with (3.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Australian Mines Backtesting, Australian Mines Valuation, Australian Mines Correlation, Australian Mines Hype Analysis, Australian Mines Volatility, Australian Mines History as well as Australian Mines Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Australian Pink Sheet analysis
When running Australian Mines' price analysis, check to measure Australian Mines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Mines is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Mines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Mines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Mines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Mines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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