Akmerkez Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 283.5
| AKMGY Stock | TRY 360.50 8.50 2.41% |
Akmerkez |
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish over 283.5
The tendency of Akmerkez Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 283.50 in 90 days |
| 360.50 | 90 days | 283.50 | about 23.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul to stay above 283.50 in 90 days from now is about 23.34 (This Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Akmerkez Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul price to stay between 283.50 and its current price of 360.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Akmerkez Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 1.1776, implying that it can generate a 1.18 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akmerkez Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akmerkez Gayrimenkul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akmerkez Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 49.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akmerkez Gayrimenkul can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akmerkez Gayrimenkul appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akmerkez Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.3 M |
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akmerkez Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akmerkez Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akmerkez Gayrimenkul
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akmerkez Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akmerkez Gayrimenkul help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akmerkez Gayrimenkul appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Backtesting, Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Valuation, Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Correlation, Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Hype Analysis, Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Volatility, Akmerkez Gayrimenkul History as well as Akmerkez Gayrimenkul Performance. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Akmerkez Stock analysis
When running Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's price analysis, check to measure Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Akmerkez Gayrimenkul is operating at the current time. Most of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Akmerkez Gayrimenkul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Akmerkez Gayrimenkul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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