Asuransi Harta (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.0
| AHAP Stock | IDR 100.00 2.00 1.96% |
Asuransi |
Asuransi Harta Target Price Odds to finish below 85.0
The tendency of Asuransi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 85.00 or more in 90 days |
| 100.00 | 90 days | 85.00 | about 10.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asuransi Harta to drop to 85.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.54 (This Asuransi Harta Aman probability density function shows the probability of Asuransi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asuransi Harta Aman price to stay between 85.00 and its current price of 100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asuransi Harta Aman has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asuransi Harta are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asuransi Harta Aman is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asuransi Harta Aman has an alpha of 0.6554, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Asuransi Harta Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asuransi Harta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asuransi Harta Aman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asuransi Harta's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Asuransi Harta Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asuransi Harta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asuransi Harta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asuransi Harta Aman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asuransi Harta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Asuransi Harta Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asuransi Harta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asuransi Harta Aman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asuransi Harta Aman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Asuransi Harta Aman has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 196.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.19 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.25 B. | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Asuransi Harta Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asuransi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asuransi Harta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asuransi Harta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 B |
Asuransi Harta Technical Analysis
Asuransi Harta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asuransi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asuransi Harta Aman. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asuransi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asuransi Harta Predictive Forecast Models
Asuransi Harta's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asuransi Harta's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asuransi Harta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asuransi Harta Aman
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asuransi Harta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asuransi Harta Aman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asuransi Harta Aman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Asuransi Harta Aman has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 196.75 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.19 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 111.25 B. | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Asuransi Harta Backtesting, Asuransi Harta Valuation, Asuransi Harta Correlation, Asuransi Harta Hype Analysis, Asuransi Harta Volatility, Asuransi Harta History as well as Asuransi Harta Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Asuransi Stock analysis
When running Asuransi Harta's price analysis, check to measure Asuransi Harta's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asuransi Harta is operating at the current time. Most of Asuransi Harta's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asuransi Harta's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asuransi Harta's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asuransi Harta to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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