Aneka Gas (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1730.0
| AGII Stock | IDR 1,800 10.00 0.55% |
Aneka |
Aneka Gas Target Price Odds to finish below 1730.0
The tendency of Aneka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,730 or more in 90 days |
| 1,800 | 90 days | 1,730 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aneka Gas to drop to 1,730 or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Aneka Gas Industri probability density function shows the probability of Aneka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aneka Gas Industri price to stay between 1,730 and its current price of 1800.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aneka Gas has a beta of 0.0721. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aneka Gas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aneka Gas Industri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aneka Gas Industri has an alpha of 0.2639, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aneka Gas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aneka Gas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aneka Gas Industri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aneka Gas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aneka Gas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aneka Gas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aneka Gas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aneka Gas Industri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aneka Gas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 99.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Aneka Gas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aneka Gas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aneka Gas Industri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aneka Gas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aneka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aneka Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aneka Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 827.8 B |
Aneka Gas Technical Analysis
Aneka Gas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aneka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aneka Gas Industri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aneka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aneka Gas Predictive Forecast Models
Aneka Gas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aneka Gas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aneka Gas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aneka Gas Industri
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aneka Gas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aneka Gas Industri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Aneka Gas Backtesting, Aneka Gas Valuation, Aneka Gas Correlation, Aneka Gas Hype Analysis, Aneka Gas Volatility, Aneka Gas History as well as Aneka Gas Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Aneka Stock analysis
When running Aneka Gas' price analysis, check to measure Aneka Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aneka Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Aneka Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aneka Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aneka Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aneka Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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