Asia Sejahtera (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 96.0
| AGAR Stock | IDR 97.00 1.00 1.02% |
Asia |
Asia Sejahtera Target Price Odds to finish over 96.0
The tendency of Asia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 96.00 in 90 days |
| 97.00 | 90 days | 96.00 | about 32.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asia Sejahtera to stay above 96.00 in 90 days from now is about 32.49 (This Asia Sejahtera Mina probability density function shows the probability of Asia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asia Sejahtera Mina price to stay between 96.00 and its current price of 97.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asia Sejahtera Mina has a beta of -0.42. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Asia Sejahtera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Asia Sejahtera Mina is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Asia Sejahtera Mina has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Asia Sejahtera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asia Sejahtera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Sejahtera Mina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asia Sejahtera's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Asia Sejahtera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asia Sejahtera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asia Sejahtera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asia Sejahtera Mina, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asia Sejahtera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Asia Sejahtera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asia Sejahtera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asia Sejahtera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1000 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.2 B |
Asia Sejahtera Technical Analysis
Asia Sejahtera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asia Sejahtera Mina. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asia Sejahtera Predictive Forecast Models
Asia Sejahtera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asia Sejahtera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asia Sejahtera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Asia Sejahtera in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Asia Sejahtera's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Asia Sejahtera options trading.
Check out Asia Sejahtera Backtesting, Asia Sejahtera Valuation, Asia Sejahtera Correlation, Asia Sejahtera Hype Analysis, Asia Sejahtera Volatility, Asia Sejahtera History as well as Asia Sejahtera Performance. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Asia Stock analysis
When running Asia Sejahtera's price analysis, check to measure Asia Sejahtera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asia Sejahtera is operating at the current time. Most of Asia Sejahtera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asia Sejahtera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asia Sejahtera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asia Sejahtera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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