Arendals Fossekompani (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 176.4
| AFK Stock | NOK 178.20 1.20 0.67% |
Arendals |
Arendals Fossekompani Target Price Odds to finish below 176.4
The tendency of Arendals Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 176.40 or more in 90 days |
| 178.20 | 90 days | 176.40 | about 79.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arendals Fossekompani to drop to 176.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 79.15 (This Arendals Fossekompani ASA probability density function shows the probability of Arendals Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arendals Fossekompani ASA price to stay between 176.40 and its current price of 178.2 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arendals Fossekompani has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arendals Fossekompani average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arendals Fossekompani ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arendals Fossekompani ASA has an alpha of 0.1475, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arendals Fossekompani Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arendals Fossekompani
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arendals Fossekompani ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arendals Fossekompani's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arendals Fossekompani Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arendals Fossekompani is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arendals Fossekompani's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arendals Fossekompani ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arendals Fossekompani within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Arendals Fossekompani Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arendals Fossekompani for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arendals Fossekompani ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arendals Fossekompani Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arendals Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arendals Fossekompani's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arendals Fossekompani's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
Arendals Fossekompani Technical Analysis
Arendals Fossekompani's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arendals Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arendals Fossekompani ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arendals Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arendals Fossekompani Predictive Forecast Models
Arendals Fossekompani's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arendals Fossekompani's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arendals Fossekompani's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arendals Fossekompani ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arendals Fossekompani for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arendals Fossekompani ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Arendals Fossekompani Backtesting, Arendals Fossekompani Valuation, Arendals Fossekompani Correlation, Arendals Fossekompani Hype Analysis, Arendals Fossekompani Volatility, Arendals Fossekompani History as well as Arendals Fossekompani Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Arendals Stock analysis
When running Arendals Fossekompani's price analysis, check to measure Arendals Fossekompani's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arendals Fossekompani is operating at the current time. Most of Arendals Fossekompani's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arendals Fossekompani's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arendals Fossekompani's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arendals Fossekompani to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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