Anadolu Efes (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 166.8
| AEFES Stock | TRY 182.60 2.40 1.33% |
Anadolu |
Anadolu Efes Target Price Odds to finish over 166.8
The tendency of Anadolu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 166.80 in 90 days |
| 182.60 | 90 days | 166.80 | about 10.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anadolu Efes to stay above 166.80 in 90 days from now is about 10.46 (This Anadolu Efes Biracilik probability density function shows the probability of Anadolu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anadolu Efes Biracilik price to stay between 166.80 and its current price of 182.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anadolu Efes Biracilik has a beta of -0.71. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anadolu Efes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anadolu Efes Biracilik is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anadolu Efes Biracilik has an alpha of 0.4966, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Anadolu Efes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anadolu Efes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anadolu Efes Biracilik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anadolu Efes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Anadolu Efes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anadolu Efes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anadolu Efes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anadolu Efes Biracilik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anadolu Efes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Anadolu Efes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anadolu Efes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anadolu Efes Biracilik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Anadolu Efes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anadolu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anadolu Efes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anadolu Efes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 592.1 M |
Anadolu Efes Technical Analysis
Anadolu Efes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anadolu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anadolu Efes Biracilik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anadolu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anadolu Efes Predictive Forecast Models
Anadolu Efes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Anadolu Efes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anadolu Efes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anadolu Efes Biracilik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anadolu Efes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anadolu Efes Biracilik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Anadolu Efes Backtesting, Anadolu Efes Valuation, Anadolu Efes Correlation, Anadolu Efes Hype Analysis, Anadolu Efes Volatility, Anadolu Efes History as well as Anadolu Efes Performance. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Anadolu Stock analysis
When running Anadolu Efes' price analysis, check to measure Anadolu Efes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anadolu Efes is operating at the current time. Most of Anadolu Efes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anadolu Efes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anadolu Efes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anadolu Efes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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