Aalborg Boldspilklub (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.8

AAB Stock  DKK 46.80  0.40  0.86%   
Aalborg Boldspilklub's future price is the expected price of Aalborg Boldspilklub instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aalborg Boldspilklub AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aalborg Boldspilklub Backtesting, Aalborg Boldspilklub Valuation, Aalborg Boldspilklub Correlation, Aalborg Boldspilklub Hype Analysis, Aalborg Boldspilklub Volatility, Aalborg Boldspilklub History as well as Aalborg Boldspilklub Performance.
  
Please specify Aalborg Boldspilklub's target price for which you would like Aalborg Boldspilklub odds to be computed.

Aalborg Boldspilklub Target Price Odds to finish over 46.8

The tendency of Aalborg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 46.80 90 days 46.80 
about 11.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aalborg Boldspilklub to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.53 (This Aalborg Boldspilklub AS probability density function shows the probability of Aalborg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aalborg Boldspilklub AS has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aalborg Boldspilklub are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aalborg Boldspilklub AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aalborg Boldspilklub AS has an alpha of 0.1995, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aalborg Boldspilklub Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aalborg Boldspilklub

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aalborg Boldspilklub. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aalborg Boldspilklub's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.8746.8048.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.3738.3051.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.1047.0348.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.2546.4247.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aalborg Boldspilklub. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aalborg Boldspilklub's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aalborg Boldspilklub's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aalborg Boldspilklub.

Aalborg Boldspilklub Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aalborg Boldspilklub is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aalborg Boldspilklub's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aalborg Boldspilklub AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aalborg Boldspilklub within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.20
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Aalborg Boldspilklub Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aalborg Boldspilklub for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aalborg Boldspilklub can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 64.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.27 M.

Aalborg Boldspilklub Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aalborg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aalborg Boldspilklub's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aalborg Boldspilklub's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding963.7 K

Aalborg Boldspilklub Technical Analysis

Aalborg Boldspilklub's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aalborg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aalborg Boldspilklub AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aalborg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aalborg Boldspilklub Predictive Forecast Models

Aalborg Boldspilklub's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aalborg Boldspilklub's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aalborg Boldspilklub's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aalborg Boldspilklub

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aalborg Boldspilklub for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aalborg Boldspilklub help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 64.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.27 M.
Check out Aalborg Boldspilklub Backtesting, Aalborg Boldspilklub Valuation, Aalborg Boldspilklub Correlation, Aalborg Boldspilklub Hype Analysis, Aalborg Boldspilklub Volatility, Aalborg Boldspilklub History as well as Aalborg Boldspilklub Performance.
Note that the Aalborg Boldspilklub information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aalborg Boldspilklub's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Aalborg Stock analysis

When running Aalborg Boldspilklub's price analysis, check to measure Aalborg Boldspilklub's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aalborg Boldspilklub is operating at the current time. Most of Aalborg Boldspilklub's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aalborg Boldspilklub's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aalborg Boldspilklub's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aalborg Boldspilklub to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aalborg Boldspilklub's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aalborg Boldspilklub is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aalborg Boldspilklub's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.