QLEANAIR (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.48

9ZJ Stock   2.71  0.06  2.26%   
QLEANAIR's future price is the expected price of QLEANAIR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of QLEANAIR AB SK 50 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out QLEANAIR Backtesting, QLEANAIR Valuation, QLEANAIR Correlation, QLEANAIR Hype Analysis, QLEANAIR Volatility, QLEANAIR History as well as QLEANAIR Performance.
  
Please specify QLEANAIR's target price for which you would like QLEANAIR odds to be computed.

QLEANAIR Target Price Odds to finish over 2.48

The tendency of QLEANAIR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2.48  in 90 days
 2.71 90 days 2.48 
about 9.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QLEANAIR to stay above  2.48  in 90 days from now is about 9.12 (This QLEANAIR AB SK 50 probability density function shows the probability of QLEANAIR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QLEANAIR AB SK price to stay between  2.48  and its current price of 2.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon QLEANAIR has a beta of 0.43. This suggests as returns on the market go up, QLEANAIR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding QLEANAIR AB SK 50 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QLEANAIR AB SK 50 has an alpha of 0.557, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   QLEANAIR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QLEANAIR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QLEANAIR AB SK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of QLEANAIR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.717.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.777.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.587.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.572.172.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as QLEANAIR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against QLEANAIR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, QLEANAIR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in QLEANAIR AB SK.

QLEANAIR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QLEANAIR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QLEANAIR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QLEANAIR AB SK 50, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QLEANAIR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.56
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

QLEANAIR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QLEANAIR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QLEANAIR AB SK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QLEANAIR AB SK appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

QLEANAIR Technical Analysis

QLEANAIR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QLEANAIR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QLEANAIR AB SK 50. In general, you should focus on analyzing QLEANAIR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

QLEANAIR Predictive Forecast Models

QLEANAIR's time-series forecasting models is one of many QLEANAIR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QLEANAIR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about QLEANAIR AB SK

Checking the ongoing alerts about QLEANAIR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QLEANAIR AB SK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QLEANAIR AB SK appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Check out QLEANAIR Backtesting, QLEANAIR Valuation, QLEANAIR Correlation, QLEANAIR Hype Analysis, QLEANAIR Volatility, QLEANAIR History as well as QLEANAIR Performance.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for QLEANAIR Stock analysis

When running QLEANAIR's price analysis, check to measure QLEANAIR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QLEANAIR is operating at the current time. Most of QLEANAIR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QLEANAIR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QLEANAIR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QLEANAIR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between QLEANAIR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if QLEANAIR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QLEANAIR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.