CVS Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.2
| 4C9 Stock | EUR 11.70 0.40 3.31% |
CVS |
CVS Group Target Price Odds to finish over 11.2
The tendency of CVS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 11.20 in 90 days |
| 11.70 | 90 days | 11.20 | about 74.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVS Group to stay above € 11.20 in 90 days from now is about 74.57 (This CVS Group plc probability density function shows the probability of CVS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CVS Group plc price to stay between € 11.20 and its current price of €11.7 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CVS Group has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CVS Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CVS Group plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CVS Group plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CVS Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CVS Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVS Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVS Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CVS Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVS Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVS Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVS Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVS Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.73 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
CVS Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVS Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVS Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CVS Group plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CVS Group plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CVS Group plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
CVS Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CVS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CVS Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVS Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.1 M |
CVS Group Technical Analysis
CVS Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CVS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CVS Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing CVS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CVS Group Predictive Forecast Models
CVS Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many CVS Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CVS Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CVS Group plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about CVS Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CVS Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CVS Group plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CVS Group plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CVS Group plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Check out CVS Group Backtesting, CVS Group Valuation, CVS Group Correlation, CVS Group Hype Analysis, CVS Group Volatility, CVS Group History as well as CVS Group Performance. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for CVS Stock analysis
When running CVS Group's price analysis, check to measure CVS Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVS Group is operating at the current time. Most of CVS Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVS Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVS Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVS Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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