All Cosmos (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.4

4148 Stock  TWD 51.30  0.20  0.39%   
All Cosmos' future price is the expected price of All Cosmos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of All Cosmos Bio Tech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out All Cosmos Backtesting, All Cosmos Valuation, All Cosmos Correlation, All Cosmos Hype Analysis, All Cosmos Volatility, All Cosmos History as well as All Cosmos Performance.
  
Please specify All Cosmos' target price for which you would like All Cosmos odds to be computed.

All Cosmos Target Price Odds to finish below 54.4

The tendency of All Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 54.40  after 90 days
 51.30 90 days 54.40 
about 91.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of All Cosmos to stay under NT$ 54.40  after 90 days from now is about 91.56 (This All Cosmos Bio Tech probability density function shows the probability of All Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of All Cosmos Bio price to stay between its current price of NT$ 51.30  and NT$ 54.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon All Cosmos has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, All Cosmos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding All Cosmos Bio Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally All Cosmos Bio Tech has an alpha of 0.1513, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   All Cosmos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for All Cosmos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as All Cosmos Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of All Cosmos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.8951.3052.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.2750.6752.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.3652.7854.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.2650.8953.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as All Cosmos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against All Cosmos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, All Cosmos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in All Cosmos Bio.

All Cosmos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. All Cosmos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the All Cosmos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold All Cosmos Bio Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of All Cosmos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.47
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

All Cosmos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of All Cosmos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for All Cosmos Bio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
All Cosmos Bio Tech has accumulated about 831.59 M in cash with (67.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.99.
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

All Cosmos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of All Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential All Cosmos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. All Cosmos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64 M

All Cosmos Technical Analysis

All Cosmos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. All Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of All Cosmos Bio Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing All Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

All Cosmos Predictive Forecast Models

All Cosmos' time-series forecasting models is one of many All Cosmos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary All Cosmos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about All Cosmos Bio

Checking the ongoing alerts about All Cosmos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for All Cosmos Bio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
All Cosmos Bio Tech has accumulated about 831.59 M in cash with (67.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.99.
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out All Cosmos Backtesting, All Cosmos Valuation, All Cosmos Correlation, All Cosmos Hype Analysis, All Cosmos Volatility, All Cosmos History as well as All Cosmos Performance.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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When running All Cosmos' price analysis, check to measure All Cosmos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy All Cosmos is operating at the current time. Most of All Cosmos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of All Cosmos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move All Cosmos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of All Cosmos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between All Cosmos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if All Cosmos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, All Cosmos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.