Phihong Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.0
| 2457 Stock | TWD 52.00 0.90 1.76% |
Phihong |
Phihong Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 49.0
The tendency of Phihong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 49.00 or more in 90 days |
| 52.00 | 90 days | 49.00 | about 9.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phihong Technology to drop to NT$ 49.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.02 (This Phihong Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Phihong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phihong Technology price to stay between NT$ 49.00 and its current price of NT$52.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phihong Technology Co has a beta of -0.74. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Phihong Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Phihong Technology Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Phihong Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Phihong Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phihong Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phihong Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phihong Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Phihong Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phihong Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phihong Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phihong Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phihong Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Phihong Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phihong Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phihong Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phihong Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (312.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.47 B. | |
| Phihong Technology Co has accumulated about 2.73 B in cash with (945.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.07. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Phihong Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phihong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phihong Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phihong Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 337.7 M |
Phihong Technology Technical Analysis
Phihong Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phihong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phihong Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phihong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phihong Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Phihong Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phihong Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phihong Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phihong Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phihong Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phihong Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phihong Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (312.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.47 B. | |
| Phihong Technology Co has accumulated about 2.73 B in cash with (945.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.07. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Check out Phihong Technology Backtesting, Phihong Technology Valuation, Phihong Technology Correlation, Phihong Technology Hype Analysis, Phihong Technology Volatility, Phihong Technology History as well as Phihong Technology Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Phihong Stock analysis
When running Phihong Technology's price analysis, check to measure Phihong Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phihong Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Phihong Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phihong Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phihong Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phihong Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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