Asia Economy (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1249.0

127710 Stock  KRW 1,214  2.00  0.16%   
Asia Economy's future price is the expected price of Asia Economy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asia Economy Daily performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Asia Economy Backtesting, Asia Economy Valuation, Asia Economy Correlation, Asia Economy Hype Analysis, Asia Economy Volatility, Asia Economy History as well as Asia Economy Performance.
  
Please specify Asia Economy's target price for which you would like Asia Economy odds to be computed.

Asia Economy Target Price Odds to finish below 1249.0

The tendency of Asia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 1,249  after 90 days
 1,214 90 days 1,249 
about 52.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asia Economy to stay under W 1,249  after 90 days from now is about 52.08 (This Asia Economy Daily probability density function shows the probability of Asia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asia Economy Daily price to stay between its current price of W 1,214  and W 1,249  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asia Economy has a beta of 0.4. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asia Economy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asia Economy Daily will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Asia Economy Daily has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Asia Economy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asia Economy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Economy Daily. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asia Economy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2121,2141,216
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
957.32959.061,335
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,3031,3051,307
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1511,2111,252
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asia Economy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asia Economy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asia Economy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Asia Economy Daily.

Asia Economy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asia Economy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asia Economy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asia Economy Daily, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asia Economy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.40
σ
Overall volatility
66.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Asia Economy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asia Economy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asia Economy Daily can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Asia Economy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asia Economy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asia Economy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments97.3 B

Asia Economy Technical Analysis

Asia Economy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asia Economy Daily. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asia Economy Predictive Forecast Models

Asia Economy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asia Economy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asia Economy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asia Economy Daily

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asia Economy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asia Economy Daily help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out Asia Economy Backtesting, Asia Economy Valuation, Asia Economy Correlation, Asia Economy Hype Analysis, Asia Economy Volatility, Asia Economy History as well as Asia Economy Performance.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Asia Stock analysis

When running Asia Economy's price analysis, check to measure Asia Economy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asia Economy is operating at the current time. Most of Asia Economy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asia Economy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asia Economy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asia Economy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Asia Economy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asia Economy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asia Economy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.