Gyeongnam Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3108.85

039240 Stock  KRW 3,265  5.00  0.15%   
Gyeongnam Steel's future price is the expected price of Gyeongnam Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gyeongnam Steel Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gyeongnam Steel Backtesting, Gyeongnam Steel Valuation, Gyeongnam Steel Correlation, Gyeongnam Steel Hype Analysis, Gyeongnam Steel Volatility, Gyeongnam Steel History as well as Gyeongnam Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Gyeongnam Steel's target price for which you would like Gyeongnam Steel odds to be computed.

Gyeongnam Steel Target Price Odds to finish over 3108.85

The tendency of Gyeongnam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above W 3,109  in 90 days
 3,265 90 days 3,109 
about 68.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gyeongnam Steel to stay above W 3,109  in 90 days from now is about 68.6 (This Gyeongnam Steel Co probability density function shows the probability of Gyeongnam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gyeongnam Steel price to stay between W 3,109  and its current price of W3265.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gyeongnam Steel has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Gyeongnam Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gyeongnam Steel Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gyeongnam Steel Co has an alpha of 0.0976, implying that it can generate a 0.0976 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gyeongnam Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gyeongnam Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gyeongnam Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gyeongnam Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,2633,2653,267
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2523,2543,592
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,4233,4253,426
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,1183,2813,444
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gyeongnam Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gyeongnam Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gyeongnam Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gyeongnam Steel.

Gyeongnam Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gyeongnam Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gyeongnam Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gyeongnam Steel Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gyeongnam Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.21
σ
Overall volatility
133.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Gyeongnam Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gyeongnam Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gyeongnam Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Gyeongnam Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gyeongnam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gyeongnam Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gyeongnam Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.1 B

Gyeongnam Steel Technical Analysis

Gyeongnam Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gyeongnam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gyeongnam Steel Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gyeongnam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gyeongnam Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Gyeongnam Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gyeongnam Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gyeongnam Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gyeongnam Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gyeongnam Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gyeongnam Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out Gyeongnam Steel Backtesting, Gyeongnam Steel Valuation, Gyeongnam Steel Correlation, Gyeongnam Steel Hype Analysis, Gyeongnam Steel Volatility, Gyeongnam Steel History as well as Gyeongnam Steel Performance.
Note that the Gyeongnam Steel information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gyeongnam Steel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Gyeongnam Stock analysis

When running Gyeongnam Steel's price analysis, check to measure Gyeongnam Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gyeongnam Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Gyeongnam Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gyeongnam Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gyeongnam Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gyeongnam Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Gyeongnam Steel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gyeongnam Steel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gyeongnam Steel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.